MEASUREMENT STARTING POINTS
Company Baselines
Sourced facts needed to measure a catalyst from a declared starting point. These records are not earnings summaries, forecasts, impact findings or grades.
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PUBLISHED BASELINES
Measurement records
Technology · Hardware · MP · baseline Oct 14, 2026
MP Materials Corp.
MP Materials: Can Independence Turn GM Magnet Qualification Into Recurring Finished-Magnet Sales and Durable Segment Economics?Prospective October 14 evidence baseline: GM qualification in progress, Q4 commercial delivery target, $45.5M precursor obligation remaining. Four-star potential significance. No initial outcome or Depth grade; persistence period count and terminal horizon remain pending author decision.
| Measurement | Starting fact | Why it matters | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| GM precursor prepayments collected | $150.0M USDthrough June 30, 2026 · Company-reported precursor prepayment | Precursor, not finished-magnet revenue. | Source ↗ |
| GM precursor products sold | $104.5M USDthrough June 30, 2026 · Company-reported precursor deliveries | Precursor, not commercial finished-magnet delivery. | Source ↗ |
| Remaining GM precursor obligation | $45.5M USDJune 30, 2026 · Company-reported remaining obligation | Finite precursor runoff, not finished-magnet sales. | Source ↗ |
| Magnetics revenue | $16.5M USDQ2 2026 · Company-reported segment revenue | Segment total without finished-magnet attribution. | Source ↗ |
| Magnetics adjusted EBITDA | $7.5M USDQ2 2026 · Company-defined non-GAAP segment measure | Excludes stated costs; not finished-magnet profit. | Source ↗ |
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