MEASUREMENT STARTING POINTS
Company Baselines
Sourced facts needed to measure a catalyst from a declared starting point. These records are not earnings summaries, forecasts, impact findings or grades.
Reading standard
Relevant · every fact connects to a defined measurement question.
Dated · the baseline and each reported period remain visible.
Sourced · each fact links to its primary evidence.
Labeled · reported facts and N-Ledger calculations remain distinct.
PUBLISHED BASELINES
Measurement records
Finance · Banking · Baseline Aug 10, 2026
Robinhood HOOD
trackedCan Prediction Markets Become a Durable Revenue Engine?
Starting facts from the approved thesis, with their sources. Reported facts and N-Ledger calculations stay separate.
| Measurement | Starting fact | Why it matters | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hub event contracts traded | 8.8BQ1 2026 · Reported fact | Exact starting value reproduced from the approved published thesis table. | Source ↗ |
| Core Hub event revenue | $104M retrospectively disclosedQ1 2026 · Reported fact | Exact starting value reproduced from the approved published thesis table. | Source ↗ |
| Total event-contract revenue | $104MQ1 2026 · Reported fact | Exact starting value reproduced from the approved published thesis table. | Source ↗ |
| Residual other transaction revenue | $43MQ1 2026 · Reported fact | Exact starting value reproduced from the approved published thesis table. | Source ↗ |
| Transaction-based revenue | $623MQ1 2026 · Reported fact | Exact starting value reproduced from the approved published thesis table. | Source ↗ |
| Total net revenue | $1.067BQ1 2026 · Reported fact | Exact starting value reproduced from the approved published thesis table. | Source ↗ |
| Rothera event revenue | Not applicableQ1 2026 · Reported fact | Exact starting value reproduced from the approved published thesis table. | Source ↗ |
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